Monday, March 28, 2011

USDJPY - Intraday Forecast

USDJPY 1HR chart - Dates on chart are March 9, 2011 - March 28, 2011.


ANALYSIS:

The USDJPY appears to be over extending itself... in my humble opinion, it is due for a retracement.  It is nearing both the 100% expansion of the March 16 spike.  This resistance line also coincides with the 261.8% expansion of last Friday's major move.  If the pair continues inflating towards resistance in this manner during today's session, a strong retracement could ensue.

NOTE: The pair is also fast approaching the psychological resistance level of 82.00 - more reason for bullish pressure at this level.  Our entry is just below the 82.00 line, stop should be 30-35 pips with profit target 50-65 pips away.  Enter at your own risk, and choose your targets suiting your own risk tolerance.

EDIT: Move SL to open price after only 20-25 pips.  Minimize risk as soon as possible, if and when price moves us into this trade.

Agree or Disagree?

TRADING OPTION:

PENDING ORDER
Sell Limit: 81.95
Stop loss: 82.30
Take profit: 81.35

EDIT: Stop loss to break even at 81.73.  Partial profits can be taken somewhere once or twice between 30 pips - 60 pips in profit.

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