Monday, March 28, 2011

EURAUD - Long Term Trade Setup

EURAUD - Daily Chart

I have identified a possible full Elliot wave completion - a 5 wave impulse down move, followed by a 3 wave retracement.  1-2-3-4-5-A-B-C.  The ABC pattern has formed a rigid channel, which has been broken to the downside.  The trend line break, confirmed by resistance met at the 23.6% RED trend origin and the 61.8% GREEN trend origin, as well as the possibility of a new downward impulse wave, suggests a very viable long term trade on the EURAUD.  Since this is the daily chart, stop loss will be large, so small lot size is required.

I have entered this trade at market order.

Entry: 1.36737
Stop loss: 1.40000 (-327 pips)
Target 1: 1.33474 (+327 pips)
Target 2: 1.28000 (+874 pips)

My initial target is a 1:1 ratio, and my second target is a 2.67 ratio.  The stop loss for this trade is huge for most traders, but this is more of a long term trade that could be open for more than a month.  Please enter trades that have large stops with the appropriate lot size, to avoid huge losses.


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